The first jibe after rounding the top mark is always a tough call. When I look at Real Tick's situation in our photo sequence, here's what comes to mind:
Hopefully, these guys have tuned into the traffic report for the upwind starboard-tack layline. In any large fleet, be it Farr 40s, Melges 24s, or Stars, jibing underneath the starboard-tack layline rarely pays, primarily because of the bad air and disturbed from boats coming upwind. In Real Tick's case, there'd better be more pressure on the other jibe, or at least a line of pressure moving across the course, for its move to pay off.