How it Will Play Out: Hoegh-Christensen has said a couple of times he hopes that Ainslie treats this like a normal race, and that the best sailor wins. Fat chance of that. For Hoegh-Christensen's sake, I pray he's hoping for the best, but expecting the worse. Ainslie knows he has both the better temperament and skill set for a match race. He also knows that Postma is likely to have a battle on his hands for third and may have trouble breaking away from any of his three pursuers. Ainslie will engage Hoegh-Christensen before the start to some extent, with the intent of getting a good start himself, but, more importantly, a slightly better start than the Danish sailor. He can't sacrifice his own start to ruin the Dane's, but he can make life difficult. If he can do that, and Postma struggles to get off the line, Ainslie will put the clamps on Hoegh-Christensen. It won't be easy to keep them on, however. If he gets behind, Hoegh-Christensen should have options to separate on the upwind by getting into a tacking duel, forcing Ainslie to choose between slowing down to cover his opponent and sticking with the rest of the fleet. Hoegh-Christensen can also decide to keep it close on the first upwind leg then attack on the downwind. If he can close the gap on the run, the leeward gate is a great opportunity to split from an opponent and look for a favorable shift.